The Mathematics Of Gambling Thorp
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Much wider in scope, The Mathematics of Gambling covers everything from baccarat to backgammon. Even before he published his first book, however, Thorp spent a couple of years as a professor here at MIT – which itself would soon become a household word among professional gamblers and casino managers. Using card counting techniques pioneered by Thorp, an organized group of students from MIT played casinos across the country for a period of twenty years. The Mathematics Of Gambling Free pdf books from Bookyards, one of the world's first online libraries to offer ebooks to be downloaded for free.
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Mathematics Of Gambling Edward O Thorp
Edward O. Thorp | |
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August 14, 1932 Chicago | |
United States | |
American | |
Probabilitytheory, Linearoperators | |
UC Irvine, New Mexico StateUniversity | |
UCLA | |
Angus E. Taylor |
Dr. Edward Oakley Thorp (born August 14, 1932,Chicago) is an Americanmathematics professor, author, hedge fund manager, and blackjack player. He iswidely known as the author of the 1962 book Beat theDealer, which was the first book to prove mathematically thatblackjack could be beaten by card counting.[1]The technique eliminated the advantage of the house, which had anestimated maximum of approximately 5% (when following strategieswith the smallest possibility of winning, either mimicking thedealer or never busting), and instead gave the player an advantageof approximately 1%.[2]He is also regarded as the co-inventor of the first wearablecomputer along with Claude Shannon.[3]
Thorp received his Ph.D. from the University ofCalifornia, Los Angeles in 1958, and worked at M.I.T. from1959 to 1961. He was a professor of mathematics from 1965 to 1977and a professor of mathematics and finance from 1977 to 1982 at University of California,Irvine.
Contents
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Computer aided researchin blackjack
The Mathematics Of Gambling Edward Thorp
Ed Thorp used the IBM 704as a research tool in order to investigate the probabilities ofwinning while developing his blackjack game theory, which was based on theKellycriterion which he learned about from the 1956 paper byKelly.[4][5][6][7]He learned Fortran in orderto program the equations needed for his theoretical research modelon the probabilities of winning at blackjack. Thorp analyzed thegame of blackjack to a great extent this way, while devisingcard-counting schemes with the aid of IBM 704 in order to improvehis odds,[8]especially near the end of a card deck that is not being reshuffledafter every deal. Thorp subsequently decided to test his theory inpractice in Reno, Lake Tahoe and Las Vegas.[9][6][8]
Appliedresearch in Reno, Lake Tahoe and Las Vegas
Thorp started his applied research using $10,000, with Manny Kimmel, awealthy professional gambler and one-time illegal bookie with mobconnections,[10]providing the venture capital. First they visited Reno and LakeTahoe establishments where they tested Thorp's theory at the localblackjack tables.[9]The experimental results proved successful and his theory wasverified since he won $11,000 in a single weekend.[6]Wheel of fortune game app cheat. He could have won more during his initial foray in Las Vegas hadhis uncanny ability at winning not drawn the unwelcome attention ofthe casino security, which led to repeated expulsions from thevarious premises that he visited that night. Casinos now shufflewell before the end of the deck as a countermeasure to his methods.During his Las Vegas casino visits Thorp frequently used disguisessuch as wraparound glasses and false beards.[9]In addition to the blackjack activities Thorp had assembled a baccarat team which was alsowinning.[9]
News quickly spread throughout the gambling community, which waseager for new methods of winning, while Thorp became an instantcelebrity among blackjack aficionados. Due to the great demandgenerated about disseminating his research results to a widergambling audience, he wrote the book Beat the Dealer in1962, widely considered the original card counting manual,[11]which sold over 700,000 copies, a huge number for a specialty titlewhich earned it a place in the New YorkTimes bestseller list, much to the chagrin of Kimmel whoseidentity was thinly disguised in the book as Mr. X.[6]
It is also worth noting that Thorp's blackjack research[12]is one of the very few examples where results from such reached thepublic directly, completely bypassing the usual academic peer review processcycle. Moreover, Thorp became one of the very few applied mathematicians who risked physicalharm in verifying a computer simulation. He has also stated that heconsidered the whole experiment an academic exercise.[6]This also marked the first time in the history of computing that acomputer was used as a gambling aid.
In addition, Thorp, while a professor of mathematics at MIT, metClaudeShannon, and brought him and his wife Betty Shannon as partnerson weekend forays to Las Vegas to play roulette and blackjack, at which Thorp was verysuccessful.[13]His team's roulette play was the first instance of using a wearablecomputer in a casino — something which is now illegal.[13][3]The wearable computer was co-developed with Claude Shannon between1960-61. The final operating version of the device was tested inShannon’s home lab at his basement in June 1961.[3]His achievements have led him to become an inaugural member of theBlackjack Hall of Fame.[14]
Stockmarket
Since the late 1960s Thorp has used his knowledge of probability and statisticsin the stock market by discovering and exploiting a number ofpricing anomalies in the securitiesmarkets, and he has made a significant fortune.[5].Princeton/Newport Partnerswas Thorp's first hedge fund, achieving an annualized net return of15.1 percent over 19 years. He is currently the President of EdwardO. Thorp & Associates, based in Newport Beach, CA. InMay 1998 Thorp reported that his personal investments yielded anannualized 20 percent rate of return averaged over 28.5 years. [15]
Bibliography
- Edward O. Thorp, Elementary Probability, 1977, ISBN0882753894
- Edward Thorp, Beat the Dealer: A Winning Strategy for the Gameof Twenty-One, ISBN 0-394-70310-3
- Edward O. Thorp, Beat the Market: A Scientific Stock MarketSystem, ISBN 0-394-42439-5 (link to similar/identicaledition?)
- Edward O. Thorp, TheMathematics of Gambling, 1985, ISBN 0-897-46019-7 (online version)
Citedreferences
- ^Beat the Dealer and Kelly criterion
- ^The Mathematics of Gamblingby Edward O. Thorp (Online Book)
- ^ abcThe Invention of the FirstWearable Computer Online paper by Edward O. Thorp of Edward O.Thorp & Associates
- ^Understanding Fortune’sFormula by Edward O. Thorp Copyright 2007 Quote: 'My 1962 bookBeat the Dealer explained the detailed theory and practice. The“optimal” way to bet in favorable situations was an importantfeature. In Beat the Dealer I called this, naturally enough, “TheKelly gambling system,” since I learned about it from the 1956paper by John L. Kelly.'
- ^ abTHE KELLY CRITERION INBLACKJACK, SPORTS BETTING, AND THE STOCK MARKET by Edward O. ThorpPaper presented at: The 10th International Conference on Gamblingand Risk Taking Montreal, June 1997 and paper abstract
- ^ abcdeDiscovery channel documentary series: Breaking Vegas, Episode: 'ProfessorBlackjack' with interviews by Ed and Vivian Thorp
- ^The Tech (MIT) 'Thorpe,704 Beat Blackjack' Vol. 81 No. I Cambridge, Mass., Friday,February 10, 1961
- ^ abAmerican Scientist online:Bettor Math, article and book review by Elwyn Berlekamp viaInternet Archive
- ^ abcdIt's Bye! Bye! BlackjackEdward Thorp, the pensive professor above, is shaking the gamblingworld with a system for beating a great card game. He published ita year ago, and now the proof is in: it works David E. SchermanJanuary 13, 1964 pp. 1–3 from SI Vault (beta)(CNN) Quotes: 'Theunlikely trio was soon on its way to Reno and Lake Tahoe, whereThorp's horn-rimmed glasses, dark hair and fresh, scrubbed facehardly struck terror into the pit bosses. (p. 1)', 'But EdwardThorp and his computer are not done with Nevada yet. The classiestgambling game of all—just ask James Bond—is that enticing thingcalled baccarat, or chemin de fer. Its rules prevent a fastshuffle, and there is very little opportunity for hanky-panky.Thorp has now come up with a system to beat it, and the systemseems to work. He has a baccarat team, and it is over $5,000 ahead.It has also been spotted and barred from play in two casinos. Couldit be bye-bye to baccarat, too? (p. 1)' and 'But disguisesfrequently work. Thorp himself now uses a combination of wraparoundglasses and a beard to change his appearance on successive LasVegas visits. (p. 3)'
- ^Breaking Vegas “ProfessorBlackjack.” Biography channel Rated: TVPG Running Time: 60Minutes Quote: 'In 1961, lifelong gambler Manny Kimmel, a'connected' New York businessman, read an article by MIT mathprofessor Ed Thorp claiming that anyone could make a fortune atblackjack by using math theory to count cards. The mob-connectedsharpie offered the young professor a deal: he would put up themoney, if Thorp would put his theory to action and card-count theirway to millions. From Thorp's initial research to the partnership'sexplosive effect on the blackjack landscape, this episode boastsfascinating facts about the game's history, colorful interviews(including with Thorp), and archival footage that evokes thetimeless allure and excitement of the thriving casinos in the early`60s. '
- ^Blackjack Heroprofile
- ^ A favorable strategy fortwenty-one. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 47(1961), 110-112
- ^ abPoundstone, William:Fortune's Formula : The Untold Story of the ScientificBetting System That Beat the Casinos and Wall Street
- ^Las Vegas Advisor on EdThorp
- ^Thorp's marketactivities
See also
Externallinks
- Edward O. Thorp at the Mathematics GenealogyProject
- Entry on Thorp at the WilmottWiki